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2024-12-13 11:43:15

Generally speaking, I have been trying to adjust positions around the direction of new quality productivity recently. After this wave of short-term stepping back, there is a high probability that a new and old cycle will be switched. I won't chase after the high price, so I'd better do my own business quietly!A high opening directly fills all the space and expectations, so at this time, relying solely on retail investors to lift the sedan chair, it must be a pattern of high opening and low walking. After all, domestic institutions have run more than 120 billion in the past two days, and foreign capital has basically not returned to A shares in this way. It is normal that the market cannot be promoted.The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.


The most important thing is that the trend here is different from that on October 8, with 3 stocks falling down and 38 stocks falling by more than 5%. This data also does not support the main shipment. More is an active retracement adjustment after the big opening, at least before the upward trend of the market has not changed, don't worry too much.At present, the market is qualitative washing, not shipping, so the shock consolidation here is still an opportunity to try to find a new direction! After short-term consolidation, it will continue to hit new heights!


However, please note that the benefits of heavy meetings are not digested, but just accumulated as before. Then, when the policy is gradually implemented, it will still bring motivation and support to A-shares in the medium and long term. Simply put, the funds of these institutions will not be scattered!There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.I have been looking at traditional industries since November, but domestic institutions are really too weak, and hot money is still speculating. However, the next market trend should still be biased towards an operating rhythm of fundamentals+trends+changing hands. After all, the year is approaching and the fund ranking war is about to start again.

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